The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers is the classic Super Bowl matchup of an unmovable object in the 49ers defense meeting an unstoppable force in the Chiefs offense. To most, the amount of yards or penalties won’t matter in the end, only the amount of touchdowns.
At LAFB, we focus on whatever will make you the most money, no matter its significance to the outcome. So let’s take a look at some of the best on-the-field odds you can put your money on for Super Bowl 54 on Sunday.
For more information on some of the best betting websites you can check out Sports Betting Day.
49ers 1st Play: Run (-145)
The fun of betting on the Super Bowl is finding niche bets like this that have pretty good odds for a return and are relatively close to a sure thing. The truly incredible thing about the 49ers great year has been their ability to cover for Jimmy Garoppolo playing the management game. He’s not a bad quarterback by any stretch but he struggles with consistency and Kyle Shanahan knows that. After Raheem Mostert’s surprise performance in the NFC Championship, it makes perfect sense that the 49ers will lean on their run game in this game as well.
Most Passing Yards: Patrick Mahomes (-120)
I’m shocked this is only at -120 and you need to take advantage of this while that line remains like this. As discussed previously, expect the 49ers to rely heavily on their running game and keep Garoppolo to a game manager position at quarterback.
That leaves Patrick Mahomes wide open to take over as the premier quarterback he has proven himself to be in this game.
The Chiefs defense held Ryan Tannehill to a respectable 209 passing yards in the AFC Championship while Mahomes finished with just under 300 in the same game and over that in the Divisional Round.
The 49ers defense success is anchored in their ability to get to the quarterback and with an improviser like Mahomes, it’s not hard to imagine he can play better than expected against them.
49ers Total Sacks: Under 2.5 (-135)
The pass rush has allowed for the secondary to thrive off pressured quarterbacks making poor decisions and forcing teams to abandon the run and depend almost exclusively on their air game.
The unfortunate part for San Francisco is that all of this is very much in doubt to continue in the Super Bowl. Not only has the Chiefs’ offensive line ranked in the top five this season in sacks allowed but whenever he is pressured, Patrick Mahomes tends to turn trash into gold. Mahomes has only been sacked twice so far in the postseason and while the 49ers pass rush is by far the most formidable they will face this season, it will be a tall order for its pass-rushing crew to get to Mahomes more than twice the entire game with his mobility.