I feel like I am saying this every week and at the risk of sounding like a broken record, I have to say it again: this NFL season has been really weird. If you’re one of the few who saw the Pittsburgh Steelers led by Devlin Hodges ready to upset the Los Angeles Chargers, you’re either clairvoyant or incredibly lucky. Either way, it is just the latest in a string of shocking upsets that have been occurring every Sunday since the season kicked off. If you weren’t one of those who saw that upset coming and lost money on it, I am right there with you. Luckily, we are back with three parlays that will make you your money back so let’s take a look at some of the best NFL Week 7 bets.
While parlays are always the riskiest bets you can place compared to spreads, we’ll break down the safest parlay you can place, another will make you some money but carries some risk, and the riskiest but most fruitful one you can place. For this article, we will take a look at 3-team parlays based on each team’s money line with each one based on its level of risk.
Safest Parlay
3-team parlay: Buffalo Bills (-1250) vs. MIA, Jacksonville Jaguars (-210) vs. CIN, San Francisco 49ers (-430) vs. WAS
We’re shaking things up a bit with the levels of risk with these parlays as evidence by these picks. These are the safest bets you can place this week and if you look at all the lines, that is not easy to come by. The Bills have performed surprisingly well this season and Josh Allen bounced back well after suffering a scary hit against New England and the Bills are coming off a bye week. A well-rested 4-1 team against the actively tanking Dolphins? Easy money.
The Jaguars line was one of the most perplexing to me this week. Despite coming off two straight losses, both of those are against quality teams and were one-score losses while the Bengals seem utterly lost and could very well not win a game until Week 16 against Miami.
While the Washington Redskins are coming off their first win of the season, the 49ers are coming off an even more impressive win against the Rams. Washington barely beat the Dolphins so their chances of pulling off the upset here are close to none.
Riskier Parlay
3-team parlay: San Francisco 49ers (-430) vs. WAS, Jacksonville Jaguars (-210) vs. CIN, Los Angeles Rams (-150) vs. ATL
As discussed before, we’re taking a different approach to the levels of risk. So while it may not be sexy to take the 49ers and Jaguars in the “riskier” parlay, the last one is enough to make you a profit.
The Rams are an understandably risky pick given their performance over the past three weeks. However, if there is a more disappointing team this season than the Falcons, I would love to hear it. Matt Ryan is avoiding all types of criticism for his play but that’s mostly because he’s throwing the entire game since the Falcons are usually behind. While it’s not entirely clear how much, if at all, newly acquired Jalen Ramsey will play for L.A., the Rams have only allowed two opponents to score more than 25 points this season and one was a total fluke against the Buccaneers and the other was against Russell Wilson, who is making a strong case for MVP this season. This is the first time the Rams have lost three straight games under Sean McVay and they will more than likely come out swinging to make sure that streak doesn’t extend.
Riskiest Parlay
3-team parlay: Jacksonville Jaguars (-210) vs. CIN, New Orleans Saints (+145) vs. CHI, Los Angeles Chargers (+110) vs. TEN
Again, the Jaguars are in here just to make sure they close out the parlay if these two upsets happen which I’m confident they will. To start off, the New Orleans Saints on the road against the Bears reeks of a type of game that would have the line flipped if they were home. Teddy Bridgewater has proven a more than reliable backup to Drew Brees by going 4-0 since his absence against objectively good teams like the Seahawks, Cowboys, and Jaguars. While the Bears do boast one of the best defenses in the league, Mitch Trubisky has proven to be inconsistent at best and with a Saints defense that has proven to be able to contain great quarterbacks like Deshaun Watson and Russell Wilson, Trubisky shouldn’t prove to a problem. While I don’t think the Saints are a lock to win this game, if their defense can put the pressure on Trubisky, New Orleans can pull off this upset on the road.
The Chargers are the same story as the Saints. If they were playing at home, despite the lack of true home-field advantage, I think this line would be swapped. While the Chargers are coming off two losses in a row, both at the hands of bad teams, it’s important to look at the context. For the Broncos loss, Melvin Gordon still was easing his way back in and fluke losses like that happen in any team’s season. As for the Steelers game, early turnovers put them in an early hole and even then they almost dug themselves out of it. Meanwhile, the Titans are starting Ryan Tannehill for the first time this season and while the Dolphins of last year weren’t as bad as this year’s, they weren’t great either. Expect Philip Rivers to bounce back strong this week.