NFL Analytics Expert Predicts Los Angeles Rams 2024 Win Total

Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

If you were to ask NFL analytics expert, Cynthia Frelund if you should bet the over on Vegas’ Los Angeles Rams over/under win record, she would likely say yes. In her latest article, Each NFC Team’s Win Total Projection for 2024 Season, she projects that they will win 9.2 games this season. Vegas set the Rams O/U at 8.5 wins.

Using the projected 53-man rosters as of May 14, Frelund ran 150,000 simulations for all 272 regular-season games. These simulations yielded a projected win total for each team, which, thanks to the multitude of factors involved, is not always a round number.

Analytics Expert Predicts Los Angeles Rams Win 9.2 Games in 2024

NFL: Los Angeles Rams-OTA
Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Here is what Frelund wrote about the upcoming season:

Matthew Stafford and the Rams open in Detroit, which really kicks off a juicy season of quarterbacks returning to their previous homes. That said, given how well freshly PAID signal-caller Jared Goff has played in the Motor City, the Lions very well could miss Jonah Jackson more in this matchup, following the guard’s free-agent departure to Los Angeles.”

“The Rams have a pretty favorable setup over the first 11 weeks, in terms of opponent styles and the general cadence of the schedule. Things get dicey after that, though, as a late-November game against the Eagles precedes a high-mileage month of December where the Rams will traverse the country to face the Saints, 49ers and Jets, with a home contest against the Bills in the midst of it all. That stretch figures to create some drama.”

With these projections, Frelund surmises that the Rams will finish second in the NFC West behind the San Francisco 49ers (11.2 wins) and narrowly beat out the Seattle Seahawks (8.8 wins). She also has LA earning a wild card playoff berth along with the Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys.

NFL: Los Angeles Rams-OTA
Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports